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风向要变了?美元、黄金面临关键时刻

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2019年05月27日 11:13:02
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(原)(标)(题)(:风)(向)(要)(变)(了)(?美)(元)(、黄)(金)(面)(临)(关)(键)(时)(刻)(今)(日)(市)(场)(恐)(再)(次)(不)(安)(
FX168财)(经)(报)(社)((香)(港)()讯)(周)(二)((7月)(24日)()亚)(市)(早)(盘)(,现)(货)(黄)(金)(目)(前)(低)(位)(徘)(徊)(于)(1230美)(元)(/盎)(司)(关)(口)(下)(方)(,走)(势)(继)(续)(承)(压)(。上)(日)(欧)(美)(盘)(中)(美)(元)(“重)(振)(旗)(鼓)(”,美)(债)(收)(益)(率)(急)(升)(提)(振)(美)(元)(多)(头)(,但)(相)(对)(于)(美)(国)(长)(债)(收)(益)(率)(急)(升)(,美)(元)(的)(升)(幅)(相)(对)(较)(小)(。尽)(管)(如)(此)(,黄)(金)(却)(深)(感)(压)(力)(,金)(价)(在)(触)(及)(1235美)(元)(后)(急)(剧)(回)(落)(,最)(终)(收)(于)(1230下)(方)(,反)(弹)(稍)(纵)(即)(逝)(。
本)(交)(易)(日)(来)(看)(,美)(国)(今)(日)(将)(就)(对)(160亿)(美)(元)(中)(国)(进)(口)(商)(品)(加)(征)(关)(税)(举)(行)(听)(证)(会)(,市)(场)(对)(此)(密)(切)(关)(注)(,与)(此)(同)(时)(,可)(适)(当)(关)(注)(美)(国)(7月)(Markit制)(造)(业)(PMI和)(服)(务)(业)(PMI初)(值)(。
上)(日)(行)(情)(回)(顾)(
周)(一)(黄)(金)(走)(势)(令)(多)(头)(心)(碎)(,亚)(盘)(持)(稳)(在)(近)(一)(周)(高)(点)(,因)(在)(美)(国)(总)(统)(特)(朗)(普)(批)(评)(了)(美)(联)(储)(升)(息)(政)(策)(后)(,美)(元)(走)(软)(至)(近)(两)(周)(低)(点)(。不)(过)(随)(后)(美)(元)(重)(拾)(涨)(势)(,黄)(金)(回)(吐)(涨)(幅)(,向)(一)(年)(低)(点)(回)(落)(,最)(终)(收)(于)(1230美)(元)(下)(方)(。
具)(体)(来)(看)(,金)(价)(在)(亚)(盘)(触)(及)(1235.10美)(元)(后)(持)(续)(下)(挫)(,欧)(美)(时)(段)(因)(美)(元)(企)(稳)(反)(弹)(,金)(价)(再)(次)(跌)(破)(1230关)(口)(,最)(低)(触)(及)(1211.69美)(元)(,最)(终)(收)(报)(1224.40美)(元)(/盎)(司)(。
(现)(货)(金)(30分)(钟)(图)(图)(来)(源)(:FX168财)(经)(网)()
上)(周)(美)(国)(总)(统)(特)(朗)(普)(出)(言)(口)(头)(打)(压)(强)(势)(美)(元)(,周)(四)(、周)(五)(接)(连)(两)(天)(批)(评)(美)(联)(储)(,并)(称)(担)(心)(年)(内)(再)(加)(息)(2次)(,认)(为)(这)(削)(弱)(了)(美)(国)(“强)(大)(的)(竞)(争)(优)(势)(”。
“特)(朗)(普)(周)(末)(的)(评)(论)(略)(微)(改)(变)(了)(市)(场)(环)(境)(,显)(然)(目)(前)(他)(们)(努)(力)(推)(动)(的)(是)(削)(弱)(美)(元)(,”澳)(新)(银)(行)(分)(析)(师)(DanielHynes表)(示)(。
受)(此)(影)(响)(,美)(元)(亚)(盘)(持)(续)(走)(低)(,一)(度)(触)(及)(低)(位)(94.21,跌)(至)(7月)(11日)(以)(来)(最)(低)(。
(美)(元)(指)(数)(30分)(钟)(图)(来)(源)(:FX168财)(经)(网)()
不)(过)(周)(一)(美)(国)(国)(债)(期)(货)(交)(易)(量)(飙)(升)(,10年)(期)(国)(债)(收)(益)(率)(一)(度)(升)(破)(2.96%,创)(6月)(中)(旬)(以)(来)(最)(高)(水)(平)(。
美)(债)(收)(益)(率)(急)(升)(带)(动)(美)(元)(上)(涨)(,但)(相)(对)(于)(美)(国)(长)(债)(收)(益)(率)(急)(升)(,美)(元)(的)(升)(幅)(相)(对)(较)(小)(,反)(映)(出)(外)(汇)(交)(易)(员)(担)(心)(上)(周)(晚)(些)(时)(候)(特)(朗)(普)(抱)(怨)(强)(势)(美)(元)(对)(经)(济)(造)(成)(的)(影)(响)(。
布)(朗)(兄)(弟)(哈)(里)(曼)((BBH)首)(席)(全)(球)(外)(汇)(策)(略)(师)(MarcChandler称)(:“特)(朗)(普)(撤)(走)(了)(美)(元)(多)(头)(的)(东)(风)(,他)(们)(还)(找)(不)(到)(其)(它)(推)(涨)(美)(元)(的)(因)(素)(。”
道)(明)(证)(券)(商)(品)(策)(略)(师)(DanielGhali表)(示)(,“出)(现)(对)(美)(元)(的)(买)(盘)(,带)(动)(今)(日)(金)(价)(下)(滑)(,但)(我)(认)(为)(美)(元)(后)(市)(将)(走)(软)(,所)(以)(预)(计)(金)(价)(在)(两)(至)(三)(个)(月)(的)(短)(期)(内)(上)(涨)(。”
关)(注)(美)(对)(华)(关)(税)(听)(证)(
今)(日)(美)(国)(将)(就)(对)(160亿)(美)(元)(中)(国)(进)(口)(商)(品)(加)(征)(关)(税)(举)(行)(听)(证)(会)(,市)(场)(对)(此)(密)(切)(关)(注)(。
美)(国)(总)(统)(特)(朗)(普)(上)(周)(五)(表)(示)(,他)(已)(准)(备)(对)(来)(自)(中)(国)(的)(所)(有)(5000亿)(美)(元)(进)(口)(商)(品)(征)(收)(关)(税)(,这)(有)(可)(能)(加)(剧)(对)(金)(融)(市)(场)(不)(安)(的)(贸)(易)(政)(策)(的)(冲)(突)(。
在)(接)(受)(CNBC采)(访)(时)(,他)(表)(示)(:“我)(准)(备)(上)(调)(到)(5000亿)((美)(元)()。”这)(相)(当)(于)(去)(年)(一)(年)(中)(国)(出)(口)(到)(美)(国)(全)(部)(货)(物)(总)(额)(。
针)(对)(美)(国)(威)(胁)(将)(对)(5000多)(亿)(美)(元)(的)(中)(国)(进)(口)(商)(品)(征)(收)(关)(税)(,中)(国)(外)(交)(部)(发)(言)(人)(耿)(爽)(回)(应)(称)(:“对)(于)(美)(方)(执)(意)(挑)(起)(贸)(易)(战)(,中)(方)(“不)(愿)(打)(、不)(怕)(打)(、必)(要)(时)(不)(得)(不)(打)(”的)(立)(场)(非)(常)(坚)(定)(、明)(确)(。我)(只)(讲)(两)(句)(话)(:第)(一)(,中)(国)(不)(是)(吓)(大)(的)(,中)(方)(有)(能)(力)(、有)(信)(心)(维)(护)(中)(国)(人)(民)(的)(利)(益)(。第)(二)(,我)(们)(奉)(劝)(美)(方)(保)(持)(冷)(静)(,通)(过)(理)(性)(的)(态)(度)(来)(处)(理)(和)(解)(决)(有)(关)(问)(题)(。”
新)(的)(关)(税)(可)(能)(有)(助)(于)(特)(朗)(普)(的)(共)(和)(党)(参)(加)(11月)(的)(国)(会)(选)(举)(。据)(皮)(尤)(研)(究)(中)(心)(上)(周)(四)(晚)(间)(发)(布)(的)(一)(项)(调)(查)(显)(示)(,超)(过)(70%的)(共)(和)(党)(和)(共)(和)(党)(倾)(向)(的)(美)(国)(成)(年)(人)(认)(为)(,美)(国)(与)(其)(贸)(易)(伙)(伴)(之)(间)(的)(关)(税)(增)(加)(对)(该)(国)(有)(利)(。
不)(过)(贸)(易)(战)(的)(风)(险)(开)(始)(威)(胁)(到)(美)(国)(经)(济)(前)(景)(,摩)(根)(大)(通)(CEO警)(告)(称)(,贸)(易)(争)(端)(可)(能)(会)(让)(美)(国)(经)(济)(增)(长)(脱)(轨)(。
摩)(根)(大)(通)(首)(席)(执)(行)(官)(JamieDimon表)(示)(,特)(朗)(普)(政)(府)(关)(税)(政)(策)(所)(引)(发)(的)(贸)(易)(战)(可)(能)(会)(扼)(杀)(经)(济)(增)(长)(,从)(而)(重)(复)(了)(他)(本)(月)(早)(些)(时)(候)(公)(布)(财)(报)(时)(所)(作)(的)(评)(论)(。
Dimon指)(出)(,现)(在)(就)(说)(关)(税)(对)(经)(济)(的)(影)(响)(还)(为)(时)(过)(早)(,但)(经)(济)(增)(长)(逆)(转)(是)(“可)(能)(的)(”。
黄)(金)(面)(临)(关)(键)(时)(刻)(
金)(价)(在)(过)(去)(6周)(中)(有)(5周)(下)(跌)(,上)(周)(触)(及)(1,210.70美)(元)(/盎)(司)(,为)(2017年)(7月)(以)(来)(最)(低)(点)(。
据)(彭)(博)(报)(道)(,RJOFutures驻)(芝)(加)(哥)(的)(高)(级)(市)(场)(策)(略)(师)(BobHaberkorn周)(一)(表)(示)(,投)(资)(者)(对)(黄)(金)(没)(有)(风)(险)(偏)(好)(,美)(元)(略)(微)(走)(高)(,给)(金)(价)(造)(成)(压)(力)(。
值)(得)(注)(意)(的)(是)(,美)(国)(商)(品)(期)(货)(交)(易)(委)(员)(会)((CFTC)周)(五)(数)(据)(显)(示)(,截)(至)(7月)(17日)(对)(冲)(基)(金)(及)(基)(金)(经)(理)(在)(纽)(约)(商)(品)(期)(货)(交)(易)(所)((COMEX)期)(金)(持)(仓)(转)(为)(净)(空)(仓)(,为)(2016年)(以)(来)(首)(见)(。
当)(时)(,2016年)(1月)(至)(7月)(间)(的)(空)(头)(头)(寸)(平)(仓)(一)(度)(推)(动)(金)(价)(上)(涨)(逾)(300美)(元)(至)(两)(年)(来)(的)(高)(点)(。
德)(国)(商)(业)(银)(行)(分)(析)(师)(称)(,这)(种)(极)(端)(的)(仓)(位)(往)(往)(是)(在)(不)(久)(的)(将)(来)(明)(显)(的)(反)(向)(指)(标)(。”
道)(明)(证)(券)(周)(一)(发)(表)(报)(告)(称)(,预)(期)(美)(元)(走)(弱)(且)(黄)(金)(仓)(位)(扭)(转)(,因)(此)(呼)(吁)(做)(多)(黄)(金)(。
此)(外)(,周)(一)(全)(球)(最)(大)(黄)(金)(ETF——SPDRGoldTrust持)(仓)(较)(上)(日)(增)(加)(4.42吨)(,当)(前)(持)(仓)(量)(为)(802.55吨)(。这)(是)(黄)(金)(ETF连)(续)(多)(日)(减)(持)(后)(的)(增)(持)(,或)(许)(意)(味)(着)(市)(场)(风)(向)(有)(所)(变)(化)(。
校)(对)(:TIER返)(回)(搜)(狐)(,查)(看)(更)(多)(责)(任)(编)(辑)(:
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